Coronavirus UK: London deaths appear to start falling as app estimates daily infections plunge

More proof Britain’s Covid crisis is on the way out? Government’s own data shows deaths in London began falling LAST WEEK as symptom-tracking app claims daily cases have HALVED in a fortnight

  • Public Health England’s daily data shows the average number of deaths has fallen four days in a row in London
  • The Covid Symptom Study suggests number of people developing Covid-19 each day has halved in two weeks
  • Study based on people self-reporting through an app puts daily infections at 34,000, down from 70,000 

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More signs that Britain may have passed the worst of the second wave emerged today as Covid deaths in London appear to have started falling.

And the symptom-tracking Covid Symptom Study estimates that the number of people developing Covid-19 has halved in a fortnight, now to 34,000 a day from 70,000 on January 8.

Numbers of people testing positive through NHS Test & Trace are also coming down, with the daily average tumbling from 60,000 on January 10 to 40,000 yesterday.

Professor Tim Spector, King’s College London epidemiologist, said today that the ‘signs are hopeful we’re on our way out of this situation’.

But he cautioned the virus is still widespread all over the country, with huge numbers of people infected. NHS hospitals are under immense strain and intensive care wards twice as busy as last year, despite thousands of extra beds. More than 20,000 people have died since January 1 and thousands more will die in the coming weeks.

The Government’s Downing Street press conferences, barely able to tighten lockdown rules any more, have this week begged people to follow the rules.

Home Secretary Priti Patel last night said that ‘grievous breaches’ of lockdown restrictions are ‘costing lives’ as she announced anyone attending house parties would now be fined a whopping £800 each.

There are early signs in Government data that number of people dying each day in London has turned a corner and started to decline in mid-January, with the daily average declining from 169 to 163 and falling for four days in a row between January 10 and 14

The number of people developing Covid-19 every day appears to have halved in a fortnight from 70,000 on January 8 to 34,000 today, according to the Covid Symptom Study, which uses self-reported symptoms through a mobile app used by around a million people

The number of people developing Covid-19 every day appears to have halved in a fortnight from 70,000 on January 8 to 34,000 today, according to the Covid Symptom Study, which uses self-reported symptoms through a mobile app used by around a million people

Public Health England data posted on the online dashboard shows that the average number of people dying each day in London has come down from 169 per day on January 10 to 163 on January 14, the most recent data.

The average is calculated for each day by adding up all the deaths from three days before the date, the date itself, and three days afterwards, and dividing it by seven.

Numbers published since the most recent average have also been lower, meaning the average is likely to continue declining in the coming days. 

It appears to mark a turning of the tide for the capital, which again became the hotspot of the country’s outbreak in December when a new super-infectious variant emerged in Kent and spread quickly through the city, forcing it into lockdown over Christmas.

Deaths in London appeared to peak on January 12, when 175 people succumbed to Covid-19.