Champions League qualification ‘will be decided on sporting merit’ if season can’t be finished

UEFA have decided that if top European leagues are unable to finish their current campaigns due to the coronavirus crisis then next season’s European places will be chosen on ‘sporting merit’.

A statement from Europe’s governing body read: ‘The ideal scenario, should the pandemic situation permit it, is to have the currently suspended domestic competitions completed enabling football clubs to qualify for UEFA club competitions on sporting merit in their original format. 

‘Should this outcome not be possible, in particular due to calendar issues, it would be preferable that suspended domestic competitions would restart with a different format in a manner which would still facilitate clubs to qualify on sporting merit.’ 

Thursday’s big video conference meeting was led by UEFA’s president Aleksander Ceferin

If season can't be finished, Man United, Arsenal and Spurs will miss out on Champions League

 If season can’t be finished, Man United, Arsenal and Spurs will miss out on Champions League

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's side would miss out due to their points-per-game ratio being too low

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side would miss out due to their points-per-game ratio being too low 

That could mean a play-off system is used to finish the campaign if it is not possible to do as normal in a timely manner.  

If it is not possible to complete the current season then this would likely mean a table decided on points-per-game ratio, according to The Times. That would secure a Champions League spot next season for the Premier League’s current top four of Liverpool, Manchester City, Leicester and Chelsea.

UEFA’s decision would see Manchester United and Sheffield United take the Europa League places, while Arsenal and Tottenham would miss out on European football entirely if the current Premier League season is unable to be completed.

As it stands, the two north London sides sit eighth and ninth respectively in the top-flight table, but they would be flipped around on a points-per-game measure, with Arsenal having played one less game.

That means the Gunners, on UEFA’s potential plan, would leapfrog Spurs and finish above them for the first time in four years.

Above them, meanwhile, the decision would be excellent news for Sheffield United amid their stunning first season back in the top flight.

Here's how the Premier League table would look based on points won per game played

Here’s how the Premier League table would look based on points won per game played

They are below Wolves in the current Premier League standings, but having played a game less their points-per-game tally is slightly better, meaning they would move up to sixth and therefore secure a place in next season’s Europa League.

It remains to be seen who will qualify for the Europa League as winners of the FA Cup if the competition cannot be finished. Wolves are the next highest-ranked team who would not qualify for European competitions if the points-per-game table is used, so they may still qualify if the oldest club cup competition in the world is not completed. 

Other than that, the Premier League table would remain the same, with Bournemouth, Norwich and Aston Villa still occupying the relegation places. 

How to deal with next season's Champions League qualification was a big issue for UEFA

How to deal with next season’s Champions League qualification was a big issue for UEFA

And they have decided that next season's European places will be decided on 'sporting merit'

 And they have decided that next season’s European places will be decided on ‘sporting merit’

It is also important to note that things could yet change further in UEFA’s plan if Manchester City’s European ban is upheld.

That would cause a ripple-down effect that would see Manchester United awarded a place in the Champions League, while Wolves would be bumped up to join Sheffield United in the Europa League. 

UEFA’s plan would not just impact the Premier League, but also the other top European divisions.

In the Bundesliga, where a decision on the outcome of the season is expected today, all of the teams in the top half of the division have played the same amount of games, meaning the standings would remain the same.

Therefore, if the season is unable to be completed in Germany, Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach would take the country’s top four spots and a place in next season’s Champions League. 

In Italy’s Serie A, some top teams have played fewer games than others, but the positions would remain the same if a points-per-game tally was applied.

Football stadiums, including Napoli's Stadio San Paolo (above), remain locked down

Football stadiums, including Napoli’s Stadio San Paolo (above), remain locked down

That means that Lazio would be a surprise qualifier for next season’s Champions League alongside table-toppers Juventus, Inter Milan and Atalanta if UEFA’s plan is put in place and the season doesn’t finish.

Roma and Napoli would be put into the Europa League, a decision that would likely disappoint both given they still had games to turn their season around and secure a place in Europe’s premier competition.

It would be even worse for AC Milan, who would miss out on European football altogether with UEFA’s plan. 

Thursday’s meeting of UEFA’s executive committee was led by president Alexander Ceferin and held via a videoconference from 9am.

Plenty of big decisions had previously been made by the committee, such as the postponement of Euro 2020, so it was always expected that more tough calls would be made this week.  

The first strand of business was already decided during a preliminary meeting on Tuesday, which included the general secretaries of UEFA’s 55 member states.